Steven G. Blum

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Don’t Choose Between Investments, Buy Them All

November 25, 2014 By Steve

If the expected return from two similar stocks is the same, how should an investor decide in which one to invest? The best answer is she shouldn’t. In most cases, the wiser choice is to buy some of each. The two investments will offer the same theoretical expected return but with lower overall risk.

This same logic applies to sectors of the economy. Should I invest in a diversified group of consumer staples companies or a broad set of industrials? Again, the better answer is to divide the investment among both.

Will the stock of a broadly diversified portfolio of U.S.-based companies do better than a similar grouping of non-U.S. firms? Nobody can know in advance but you can reduce risk by investing in both.

And so on…

Expected returns are related to asset class rather than individual members of the class. Understanding that fact leads to realizing that broad diversification is a wiser investment decision than narrowly choosing among a group of similar investments. Happily, in recent years the financial industry has provided ample vehicles for making such investments at extremely low cost.

Taken to its logical conclusion, this makes the case for the broadest possible diversification using low cost index funds. You want to own a thin slice of “everything” and pay as little as possible to do so.

Of course, different asset classes carry different levels of risk. It is always of paramount importance to avoid a greater level of risk (and volatility) than you can handle. That, however, is a separate topic for another day. Today’s lesson is this: very broad diversification will lower investment risk without lowering expected return. As I wrote in Negotiating Your Investments, that’s a free lunch! And a free lunch is, as the saying goes, as good as it gets.

 

Filed Under: Finance

About Steve

Steven G. Blum has been teaching in the Department of Legal Studies and Business Ethics at the Wharton School of Business of the University of Pennsylvania since 1994.

In addition to teaching semester-long courses for undergraduate and MBA students, Mr. Blum has taught in Wharton Executive Education programs, lectured and consulted widely, and frequently leads seminars and educational forums. Mr. Blum has five times won the William G. Whitney Award for outstanding teaching.

He holds the degrees of Masters of Laws and Juris Doctor. He also earned a Masters Degree from the Harvard Graduate School of Education, and the Specialization in Negotiation and Dispute Resolution from the Program on Negotiation at Harvard. In addition to teaching and consulting, Steven maintains a practice of law and is a registered investment advisor. He has a strong research interest in the area of ethics and fiduciary duty. His book entitled Negotiating Your Investments was published by Wiley in April 2014.

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